Mike Gundy thrives on being the underdog, no matter how much success he achieves. Last season, Oklahoma State was picked seventh in the Big 12 preseason poll, only to defy expectations by upsetting Oklahoma in the final Bedlam game and competing for the Big 12 championship. Under Gundy’s leadership, the Cowboys have secured double-digit wins eight times, often after being unranked in the preseason AP Top 25.
Despite this history, Oklahoma State is once again being overlooked for the 2024 season. They have the seventh-best odds to win the Big 12 championship, behind teams like Iowa State and Texas Tech, and are tied with UCF, which struggled in its first season as a power conference team. Interestingly, UCF’s only win against a legacy Power Five team was against Oklahoma State.
Oklahoma State’s journey to the Big 12 title game last year was not without its challenges. They suffered significant losses to UCF and South Alabama and needed double overtime to defeat BYU. Nevertheless, the Cowboys held their ground, suggesting that last season’s performance was just the beginning.
The team has several strengths heading into 2024. Running back Ollie Gordon II returns after a stellar season, rushing for 1,732 yards and 21 touchdowns. Gordon will lead the nation’s top-ranked offensive line, according to 247Sports, which includes five starters like tackles Dalton Cooper and Jake Springfield. Overall, Oklahoma State ranks third nationally in returning production, with 85% of its playmakers coming back, including standout defensive lineman Collin Oliver and quarterback Alan Bowman.
While returning production doesn’t guarantee success, it does provide a strong foundation. Last year, teams like Florida State, Kansas, and Michigan, which led in returning production, had outstanding seasons.
Moreover, the departure of Oklahoma from the Big 12 should be a relief for Gundy, who has lost 15 games against the Sooners, accounting for nearly 20% of his career losses. Without this major stumbling block, the Cowboys can focus on their path forward.
Historically, non-Oklahoma teams that have reached the Big 12 title game have often struggled the following season. Examples include TCU in 2023, Baylor in 2022, and Iowa State in 2021. However, there are key factors that can contribute to a successful season for Oklahoma State. Experience at quarterback is crucial, as seen in Gundy’s previous 10-win seasons. The return of standout wide receiver Brennan Presley and potential improvements in the defense under Bryan Nardo also provide hope.
Low expectations might actually benefit the Cowboys. Since 2009, Oklahoma State has often finished lower in the final rankings when starting in the top 15 of the preseason AP Top 25, except during their historic 2011 season.
In summary, despite the long odds, Oklahoma State has all the elements for another successful season under Mike Gundy. The Cowboys seem to excel when overlooked, and 2024 could be another year where they thrive in the underdog role.
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