Big Ten Defenses: 2024 Predictions and Analysis

As the 2024 college football season approaches, fans and analysts are already speculating on the direction Big Ten defenses will take this year. Drawing insights from various sources, including Pick Six Previews, let’s break down the expectations for each Big Ten defense and discuss whether they are likely to trend up or down compared to last season.

The Top-Tier Defenses: Iowa, Michigan, and Penn State

Iowa: The Hawkeyes consistently field one of the nation’s top defenses, ranking third overall last season. Despite losing key players like Cooper DeJean, there’s widespread confidence that defensive coordinator Phil Parker will maintain Iowa’s defensive prowess. Parker’s track record of developing disciplined and reliable defenders suggests that Iowa may experience only a minimal drop, if any. The offense’s performance, however, will be a critical factor; if it struggles, the defense could be overburdened.

Michigan: Michigan’s defense was a standout last year, finishing seventh in the nation. Many are curious to see if they can sustain this level of performance, especially in light of the controversy surrounding the Connor Stalions sign-stealing scandal. Despite these concerns, Michigan returns several key players, including Mason Graham, Kenneth Grant, and Will Johnson, who is touted as one of the top players in college football. While some predict a slight drop, others believe Michigan’s defense will remain formidable, potentially offsetting any offensive uncertainties.

Penn State: Penn State’s defense was ranked number one last year, leaving little room for improvement. The general consensus is that while they might not surpass last year’s performance, they are unlikely to experience a significant decline. With their talent pool and coaching staff, maintaining their status as a top defense seems likely.

Potential Risers: Indiana and Oregon

Indiana: Last season, Indiana’s defense struggled, ranking 67th. However, with an influx of talent from the Group of Five (G5) and improvements expected on the offensive side, there is optimism that Indiana’s defense will perform better in 2024. The G5 “all-star” team approach may pay dividends, making them a team to watch for improvement.

Oregon: Although Oregon isn’t traditionally a Big Ten team, they were ranked 11th last year and are projected to improve further. They’ve added key players from the transfer portal, including Jamari Caldwell from Houston and Jabbar Muhammad from Washington, bolstering their defense. If these additions gel, Oregon could break into the top 10 defensively.

Question Marks: USC and Rutgers

USC: USC’s defense was a sore spot last year, ranking 52nd. With new defensive coordinator Deontay Lynn, who previously led UCLA to a top 10 defense, there is potential for significant improvement. The key will be mastering the fundamentals and avoiding costly mistakes. A top 30 finish is within reach if everything falls into place, but skepticism remains.

Rutgers: Rutgers’ defense could be a dark horse this season. They return a significant number of players from last year’s squad, and the addition of defensive tackle Malcolm Ray from Florida State is a major boost. With a manageable schedule and strong defensive continuity, Rutgers could surprise many by breaking into the top 10 defensively.

The Rest: Teams to Keep an Eye On

Ohio State: Expectations are sky-high for Ohio State’s defense, with many fans believing they should have the number one defense in the nation. With experienced players returning and the addition of star freshman Caleb Downs, anything less than a top three finish would be considered a disappointment.

UCLA: UCLA faces a challenging season with new offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy and Deshaun Foster stepping into leadership roles. While some predict a decline, others believe Bieniemy’s impact could stabilize the team, though significant improvement seems unlikely this year.

Washington: Washington’s defense, ranked 35th last year, could struggle following the departure of key players. The pressure is on Jed Fish to maintain, if not improve, the defense’s standing, but doubts persist about their ability to do so.

As the 2024 season unfolds, the Big Ten will showcase a mix of rising defenses and those fighting to maintain their elite status. While teams like Iowa, Michigan, and Penn State are expected to remain strong, others like Indiana and Rutgers may surprise. USC and Oregon, with their new additions and changes, also have the potential to shake up the defensive rankings. One thing is certain: the Big Ten will continue to be a conference where defense plays a pivotal role in the race for the championship.

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Jon "JR" Rhoades

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